Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.078656 0.088168 0.098032 0.108997 0.120819 0.133153 0.146968
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.062151 0.076004 0.091239 0.109110 0.129371 0.151506 0.177390
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.049840 0.066170 0.085126 0.108446 0.136043 0.167355 0.205249
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.043980 0.062654 0.085340 0.114343 0.149842 0.191299 0.242770
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.039624 0.060168 0.086152 0.120492 0.163728 0.215431 0.280962
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.033941 0.055077 0.082934 0.120984 0.170221 0.230443 0.308257
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.028167 0.049030 0.077727 0.118245 0.172109 0.239440 0.328047
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.025775 0.047431 0.078227 0.122816 0.183293 0.260101 0.362526
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.023294 0.045350 0.077769 0.125875 0.192389 0.278144 0.393922
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.020832 0.042962 0.076592 0.127716 0.199727 0.293915 0.422574
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.018379 0.040256 0.074659 0.128245 0.205126 0.307104 0.447989
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.018133 0.041234 0.078333 0.136971 0.222026 0.335783 0.493983
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.015704 0.038228 0.075785 0.136693 0.226731 0.348874 0.520658
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.013956 0.036240 0.074719 0.138599 0.234646 0.366584 0.553983
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.012073 0.033704 0.072521 0.138601 0.239756 0.380544 0.582566
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.011607 0.033942 0.075003 0.145995 0.255862 0.409989 0.632509
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.011189 0.034212 0.077517 0.153486 0.272249 0.440073 0.683729
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.009854 0.032267 0.075913 0.154147 0.278284 0.455570 0.715059
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.008193 0.029266 0.072102 0.150917 0.278213 0.462300 0.734313
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.007741 0.029066 0.073478 0.156376 0.291567 0.488394 0.780721
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.007128 0.028357 0.073804 0.160022 0.302145 0.510616 0.821978
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.006426 0.027285 0.073323 0.162211 0.310441 0.529611 0.858908
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.005655 0.025864 0.072009 0.162841 0.316225 0.544970 0.890850